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The Pundit's View

The Pundits Weekend Premiership Betting Preview (11/12/09)

Looking at this weekend’s premiership action there are some interesting games to get involved in. Villa at 6/1 away to an injury hit United looks attractive, while away wins for Man City and Blackburn could be nice additions to multiple selections.

Anyway I have given my two cents worth on each game below and the Pundits weekend multiple is a €10 trixie with Paddy Power(i.e. 3 Doubles and 1 Treble) on the following three selections:
Blackburn to win @ 8/5
Stoke to win @21/20
Burnley v Fulham Draw @23/10

This bet costs €40 in total, and if all three selection come up will pay €382.
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Stoke v Wigan (12.45pm Sat – Live on Sky Sports 1)Stoke have been solid at home this season, putting together some impressive results. For tomorrow’s game against Wigan they welcome back key defender Ryan Shawcross and Dean Whitehead is back from suspension. Wigan face a late fitness test on keeper Kirkland following his back injury sustained last week. I reckon Stoke will prove too strong for inconsistent Wigan.
Pundit’s View: Stoke to win @21/20 with Paddy Power
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Birmingham v West Ham (3.00pm Sat)
West Ham come into this game with a number of key players injured – Upson in defence and Cole in attack. In addition, Dean Ashton announced on Friday that due to persistent injuries he has decided to retire from football at the age of 26. Similarly to Stoke, Birmingham have been solid at home this season and McLeish has them playing to a set formation which is working.
Pundit’s View: Birmingham to win @11/10 with Paddy Power
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Bolton V Man City (3.00pm Sat)
Bolton welcome back captain Kevin Davies after his one game suspension, and no doubt he will prove his usual menace to the opposing defence. Man City have been the draw kings of the season and another draw here would be no surprise. However, the team is starting to show signs of consistency and buoyed by last weeks win against table topping Chelsea, I expect them to kick on here with a win. Also, Bellamy and Stephen Ireland should be available following injury.
Pundit’s View: City to win @4/5 with Paddy Power
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Burnley v Fulham (3.00pm Sat)
Neither team is at full strength for tomorrow’s game. Fulham are without Andy Johnson, while Burnley are without the services of McCann, Paterson and Rodriguez. All in all, I think its a bit of a difficult game to call but I expect a draw. Why – while Burnley have been well organised at home – Fulham are equally as well drilled and I expect both teams to cancel each other out.
Pundit’s View: Draw @23/10 with Paddy Power
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Chelsea v Everton (3.00pm Sat)
Chelsea will have been hugely disappointed with last weekend’s loss to City, and they won’t have been to pleased with Tuesday home draw in the Champions League. Both teams have injuries coming into this game. However, with Chelsea’s superior strength in depth I expect them to win out despite what could be a spirited Everton display.
Pundit’s View: Chelsea to win @1/4 & Chelsea to win 2-0 @ 5/1 with Paddy Power
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Hull v Blackburn (3.00pm Sat)
Everyone has noted Hull’s better form in the last few months however the injury last week to Jimmy Bullard is a key blow to the side’s momentum. Except for David Dunn, Blackburn have a full squad to choose form. I expect an away win, but possibly by a small margin.
Pundit’s View: Blackburn to win @ 8/5 with Paddy Power
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Sunderland v Portsmouth (3.00pm Sat)
Poor old Portsmouth – having to borrow money to meet their wage bill which is no doubt likely to have an impact on player moral. Sunderland have looked excellent at times this season but have not been any way near consistent and they go into tomorrow’s game with injuries. While Portsmouth welcome back David James from injury I expect he may have his work cut out with Sunderland to strong in the end.
Pundit’s View: Sunderland to win @ 4/5 with Paddy Power
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Tottenham v Wolves (3.00pm Sat)
Looking at this game I am going for a home win. Spurs have looked quite good at home this season and have won 5 out of 7 home league games. Once they approach the game correctly, their attacking brand of football should prove too much for Wolves.
Pundit’s View: Spurs to win @2/7 with Paddy Power
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Man United v Villa (Sat 17.30, Live ESPN)
I went against United mid week and they came out and proved me wrong with a 3-1 away win. However, I feel the injury list they have will have to have a negative impact at some stage. While Vidic may well be back for this one, they will be without other key defenders for this one.
Under O’Neill Villa are a well organised side and last season nearly came away from Old Trafford with the points. I believe that the odds on offer for an away win are too good to avoid – 6/1 with Paddy Power. For those not as confident, I suggest having a look at the draw no bet odds of 4/1 with Paddy Power or opposing a United Win on Betfair.
Pundit’s View: Villa to win @6/1 Paddy Power or Villa to win draw no bet with Paddy Power at 4/1.
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Liverpool V Arsenal (Sun 4.00pm, Sky Sports)
Liverpool have been shockingly poor at times this season and have shown little resemblance to the team that finished last season on fire. The importance of Alonso has been underlined time and time again. Injuries to Torres and Gerrard have not helped either. Arsenal supporters will not have been too happy with their team’s recent displays.
Looking at Sunday’s game I fancy a home win for a number of reasons. Firstly, Liverpool’s injury list is significantly reduced and the squad is getting back towards full strength. Torres may start and despite not being fully match fit is still a huge threat as shown in the United game this season. Expanding that point Liverpool have a tendency to raise their game against the better opposition, especially at home. In terms of Arsenal, they come in to this game missing a number of key players – Van Persie, Clichy, Eboue, Eduardo, Rosicky and Djourou.
I predict a home win – with the main threat to this none other than Arshavin whom proved a thrown in Liverpool’s side last season netting four goals in the corresponding fixture.
Pundit’s View: Liverpool to win at 6/5 with Paddy Power
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